Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000110 0.000121 0.000133 0.000146 0.000161 0.000177 0.000196
2025-12-14 0.000087 0.000102 0.000120 0.000142 0.000169 0.000200 0.000240
2025-12-21 0.000071 0.000088 0.000109 0.000137 0.000172 0.000216 0.000276
2025-12-28 0.000063 0.000082 0.000105 0.000137 0.000181 0.000238 0.000321
2026-01-04 0.000057 0.000076 0.000102 0.000138 0.000190 0.000261 0.000368
2026-01-11 0.000051 0.000071 0.000097 0.000136 0.000194 0.000277 0.000408
2026-01-18 0.000047 0.000067 0.000095 0.000137 0.000201 0.000298 0.000456
2026-01-25 0.000043 0.000063 0.000091 0.000135 0.000204 0.000312 0.000496
2026-02-01 0.000040 0.000060 0.000088 0.000135 0.000210 0.000330 0.000543
2026-02-08 0.000037 0.000056 0.000085 0.000132 0.000211 0.000342 0.000581
2026-02-15 0.000034 0.000053 0.000081 0.000129 0.000212 0.000352 0.000618
2026-02-22 0.000032 0.000051 0.000080 0.000130 0.000219 0.000374 0.000677
2026-03-01 0.000031 0.000049 0.000079 0.000132 0.000228 0.000401 0.000752
2026-03-08 0.000029 0.000046 0.000076 0.000130 0.000229 0.000414 0.000801
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000043 0.000072 0.000125 0.000226 0.000418 0.000834
2026-03-22 0.000025 0.000042 0.000070 0.000126 0.000233 0.000442 0.000911
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000040 0.000069 0.000126 0.000240 0.000468 0.000995
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000038 0.000067 0.000125 0.000242 0.000483 0.001059
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000037 0.000066 0.000125 0.000248 0.000509 0.001150
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000036 0.000064 0.000123 0.000249 0.000523 0.001216
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000034 0.000063 0.000123 0.000254 0.000545 0.001305
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000033 0.000061 0.000121 0.000254 0.000557 0.001370
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000031 0.000059 0.000118 0.000253 0.000567 0.001430